Chasing Yields

Our latest musings about actions and events affecting the investment landscape

Where have all the long bonds gone?

Where have all the long bonds gone?

Since the start of the year, both large U.S. corporations and small businesses have faced a highly uncertain financial landscape. With rising interest rates, imposing tariffs, and a volatile political environment, the level of uncertainty is unprecedented.

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Read our latest Market Insights.

Private Sector Hiring Lowest Since 2023

Private Sector Hiring Lowest Since 2023

The May ADP Employment Report, released today, brought unexpected news-the private sector added only 37,000 jobs, a stark contrast to the anticipated 110,000. These ADP numbers, which reflect the monthly changes in private business hiring, mark the lowest point since...

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With All This Talk Is Anyone Really Listening?

With All This Talk Is Anyone Really Listening?

As a bond trader for over 40 years, I’ve seen many brokerages and banks consolidate. One of the well-known stock brokerage houses in the 70’s and 80’s was E.F. Hutton, who later became part of a Citigroup/Morgan Stanley joint venture.

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To Cut, Or Not To Cut, That Is The Question?

To Cut, Or Not To Cut, That Is The Question?

This week, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Meeting kicks off its May policy meeting. Expectations are that the Fed will maintain its position and wait for more hard facts to support the decision to lower interest rates, possibly making its first move to reducing rates in June or July.

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Can We Trust Better-Than-Expected 1st Q Earnings?

Can We Trust Better-Than-Expected 1st Q Earnings?

This week, about 30% of companies that make up the S&P are reporting first-quarter earnings. While many of these companies announced better-than-expected numbers, the big question lurking over the markets is, "Can we trust 1st quarter earnings considering the...

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Small Businesses Take the Brunt of the Tariff Blow

Small Businesses Take the Brunt of the Tariff Blow

As the current administration continues to impose higher tariffs on countries worldwide, confidence and uncertainty among individual investors, small businesses, and corporations plummet. According to Apollo Global Management's Chief Economist, Torsten Slok, the...

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Business Pessimism Stagnates Corporate Planning

Business Pessimism Stagnates Corporate Planning

This week, the Federal Reserve Bank of NY released the findings of its April Empire State Manufacturing Index, a snapshot survey of the health of the manufacturing sector in NY. As per the respondents, there was a modest decline in business activity, which was,...

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