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Chasing Yields

Our latest musings about actions and events affecting the investment landscape

Bond Market Still Concerned About Inflation

Bond Market Still Concerned About Inflation

The bond market sold off today, with fresh concerns about the outlook for inflation after the June CPI showed prices rose the most since the beginning of the year, and continued threats from President Trump to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell.

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30-year T approaches 5%

30-year T approaches 5%

As Wall Street resumes operations post the July 4th holiday, the market is grappling with the implications of the President’s tariff commentary. The 30-year Treasury is edging towards 5% today, with the 10-year just below 4.5% as I write.

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Where have all the long bonds gone?

Where have all the long bonds gone?

Since the start of the year, both large U.S. corporations and small businesses have faced a highly uncertain financial landscape. With rising interest rates, imposing tariffs, and a volatile political environment, the level of uncertainty is unprecedented.

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Private Sector Hiring Lowest Since 2023

Private Sector Hiring Lowest Since 2023

The May ADP Employment Report, released today, brought unexpected news-the private sector added only 37,000 jobs, a stark contrast to the anticipated 110,000. These ADP numbers, which reflect the monthly changes in private business hiring, mark the lowest point since...

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With All This Talk Is Anyone Really Listening?

With All This Talk Is Anyone Really Listening?

As a bond trader for over 40 years, I’ve seen many brokerages and banks consolidate. One of the well-known stock brokerage houses in the 70’s and 80’s was E.F. Hutton, who later became part of a Citigroup/Morgan Stanley joint venture.

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To Cut, Or Not To Cut, That Is The Question?

To Cut, Or Not To Cut, That Is The Question?

This week, the Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Meeting kicks off its May policy meeting. Expectations are that the Fed will maintain its position and wait for more hard facts to support the decision to lower interest rates, possibly making its first move to reducing rates in June or July.

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