Market Insights
Our latest insights on bond market activity

Fed Cuts 25bps; Traders Now Betting on 50bps More as Labor Weakens and Inflation Holds
• Chicago is lending cash to its underfunded pensions so they have enough money to avoid asset sales to cover retirement checks as they wait for property taxes to come in after a computer issue delayed collections.

Connecticut Upgraded, CPI Cools, and Markets Bet on 3 Fed Cuts
• Connecticut is collecting a duo of fiscal wins this week with two upgrades from both Moody’s and Fitch. Both of the credit rating agencies cited improvements in the state’s budget management practices.

Jobs Data, Fed Division, and MUNI Momentum: September Market Drivers to Watch
• As mentioned in a previous note, we have several economic data points being released BEFORE the FED meeting this month. One of which is the Non-Farm Payrolls, Bloomberg is expecting a larger gain in August’s numbers than in July.
Read our latest musings about actions and events affecting the investment landscape.

MUNI Market Update: 5% Yields, Resilient Demand, and Strategic Entry Points
As we reported on June 10, Blackrock indicated that it is time to buy MUNI bonds, as supply is ample and prices are favorable ahead of the summer.

Tariffs continue to take the spotlight – Jobs numbers tomorrow, Friday, June 6
The Governor of Illinois reported plans to sign a $55.1 billion budget for 2026, which generates revenue from higher taxes on smokers, gamblers, and large multi-state businesses while pulling delinquent taxes into state coffers through a six-week amnesty program.

Congestion Pricing, Elite University Debt & Tariff Turmoil Shape Market Outlook
The NYC congestion toll pricing raised $215.7 million in the program’s first four months. Since January 5, most motorists have to pay $9 during peak hours to enter south of 60th Street in Manhattan.

US Credit Rating Downgrade
Duration: 02:31
Transcript: As we know, Moody’s downgraded the treasury markets this week. What does that really mean for you?

Bonds Lead, Stocks Follow: Key Moves Across Markets and Impacts on MUNIs
• As we saw on May 21, long-term borrowing costs for all major economies are surging as investors question the government’s ability to cover massive budget deficits. The 30-year bond yields in the US and Japan reached multi-year highs.

Policy Volatility and Credit Repricing: What’s Ahead for MUNI Investors?
Maryland’s credit rating was downgraded one level to Aa1 from Aaa by Moodys. This downgrade was a direct result of its exposure to shifting federal policies, according to a May 14 report.

Scary Headlines! Now What?
Duration: 2:53
Transcript: Well, if you are looking at the headlines and getting a little bit worried, you are in good company.

The Market Hates Uncertainty
Duration: 3:48
Transcript: Well, we all know that the market really hates uncertainty. I think everybody does, really, when it comes down to it.

Navigating Uncertainty in Fixed Income Securities
Duration: 4:17
Transcript: If you’re looking to buy higher grade securities with a higher rate of return, then you might consider going out a little further. If you are only seeking to build a ladder, one to five years in this example, we can certainly help you with that.